(IDEX Online) – Sales of fine jewelry and fine watches rose by 8.7 percent in the U.S. market in June, when compared to the same month a year ago, as the graph below illustrates.

 

However, the big news story was that the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised its figures for sales going back 10 years to 2008. That was the year of the great financial crisis, with the market taking several years to recover as a deep recession bit into sales in the United States which suffered a big rise in unemployment and a strong decline in consumer spending.

 

The BEA's revised figures reduced the size of the US jewelry and watch market overall by at least 15 percent, with some estimates suggesting that it may have been deeper still.

 

However, it seems clear that the pattern of American jewelry sales remained upwards over the past decade despite the BEA's downward revision.

 

IDEX figures based on BEA figures before the revision for estimated jewelry and watch sales in 2017 were almost $92 billion, with the figures for 2016 showing a total of $88 billion.

 

But the latest update puts the figure at close to $77 billion for 2017, a drop of 16%. Nonetheless, this revised figure was still a rise of 5% on the previous year which was revised down to just over $73 billion.

 

The BEA periodically revises its data according to updated statistics from the U.S. Census Bureau (CB), though this revision was particularly deep and was based on updated data from the CB's Annual Retail Trade Survey for 2016 and for previous years.

 

As for the June figures, sales were an estimated $6.0 billion, according to preliminary data from the U.S. Commerce Department.

 

 

Outlook

 

With the American economy continuing to improve, it's reasonable to assume that the figures will keep showing a solid performance in the coming months.

 

US stock markets continue to power ahead, creating new records, despite concerns over trade wars due to tit-for-tat tariffs and legal and political problems affecting the Trump administration.

 

Indeed, the National Retail Federation has revised its retail sales growth prediction for 2018 upwards to at least 4.5 percent from a 3.8-4.4 percent gain previously.

 

The NRF said that tax reform and positive economic conditions were the main factors behind its forecast.

 

NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said: “Higher wages, gains in disposable income, a strong job market and record-high household net worth have all set the stage for very robust growth in the nation’s consumer-driven economy."

 

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