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IDEX Online Research: Specialty Jewelers Challenges - Lack of Pricing Power

May 24, 07 by Ken Gassman

In the third analysis of this series, IDEX Online Research analyst Ken Gassman examines the challenges lack of pricing power poses to Specialty Jewelers in the U.S.

 

Despite a 6.1 percent increase in wholesale jewelry prices in the U.S. in 2006, jewelers were able to raise their retail prices by less than 4 percent. As a result, jewelers’ gross margins have been under pressure (see graph in the first article of the series ‘Financial Deterioration’).

 

Because the retail jewelry segment is so highly fragmented without any dominant retail chains, the industry lacks pricing power. In addition, far too many jewelers rely on price-based marketing tactics to sell goods. Finally, because jewelry is a discretionary purchase, shoppers will cut back on jewelry purchases when prices climb rapidly; this happened in 2006 with gold jewelry when the price of gold rose above $600 per ounce. Retail prices of jewelry in the U.S. have declined for nine of the past nineteen years, as the graph below illustrates.

 

 U.S. Consumer Price Index for Jewelry
U.S. Retail Jewelry Prices
1988 - 2006
% Change Year-to-Year


Source:  U.S.Dept of Commerce/BLS                                                                                                                                                


Jewelry prices at wholesale have continued to rise every year since 2000, as the graph below illustrates.

 U.S. Producer Price Index for Jewelry
U.S. Jewelry Wholesale Prices
1988 - 2005
% Change Year-to-Year


Source:  BLS                                                                                                                                                                    


The U.S. retail jewelry industry lacks pricing power which is enjoyed by so many other retail categories such as consumer electronics (Best Buy / Circuit City), home improvement supplies (Lowe’s / Home Depot) and others in retail segments which are far less fragmented. Because the U.S. jewelry industry is so fragmented, no single jewelry retailer can set the pace for price changes.

 

Unfortunately, retail prices for jewelry have been slumping while retail prices for most other consumer product categories have continued to rise steadily, as the graph below illustrates.

 

Price Inflation - All Consumer Goods vs Jewelry
1987 - 2006


 Source:  U.S.Dept of Commerce                                                                                     


One of the challenges for U.S. jewelers is to reduce the use of price-based promotions. Based on the long term deflationary trends of U.S. jewelry prices, it is clear that too many jewelers are simply cutting prices in an effort to gain market share.

 

Because jewelry is a discretionary purchase, it is possible to calculate the retail price “choke point” at which consumers cut back on their jewelry purchases in some categories. For example, when gold rose above $600 per ounce in 2006, consumer demand for gold jewelry softened significantly. As the graph below illustrates, gold demand for jewelry (in tons) began to decline around 2000, just as gold prices began to rise. In 2006, gold demand for jewelry declined by 16 percent from 2005 (in tons), while the price of gold rose 36 percent in the same period.

 Gold Prices & World Gold Jewelry Fabrication - Actual & Estimated
Average Annual Price of Gold in U.S. Dollars per Ounce
Gold Jewelry Fabrication in Tonnes


 Source:  World Gold Council                                                                                                                      

 


 
Next in this series: Loss of Market Share & Share of Wallet

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