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IDEX Online Research: Polished Diamond Prices -0.1% in March

April 03, 12 by Edahn Golan

(IDEX Online) – The average price of polished diamonds was largely unchanged in March with loose diamond wholesalers trying to generate business in a lukewarm global economy. The larger 4- and 5-carat rounds suffered from declining prices.

 

The full analysis of the polished diamond prices is available to IDEX Online Research subscribers and IDEX Online members here.

 

The IDEX Online Global Polished Diamond Price Index averaged 139.8 in March, down 0.1 percent compared to February. Wholesale loose polished diamonds maintained their prices, a six-month trend that follows a peak in prices in July 2011.


Source: IDEX Online Research

Year-Over-Year Price Inflation Cools

Polished diamond prices rose by 9.1 percent compared to March 2011, the first time in more than 12 months that year-over-year prices have fallen to single-digit levels.


Source: IDEX Online Research

Prices of Larger Goods Tumble

While prices of half-carat and smaller rounds were stable in March, the price of 4- and 5-carat diamonds dropped 5.8 percent and 5.7 percent respectively versus February. Prices for 1-carat to 3-carat rounds declined by about 1 percent month-over-month.

 

The items that pulled upwards most significantly were 0.5 rounds, which rose 0.3 percent from the previous month.



Source: IDEX Online Research



On a year-over-year comparison, polished diamond prices in March 2012 were mostly ahead for the key diamond sizes. Prices for half-carat diamonds and four-carat gemstones rose sharply, while price gains were more modest for 1.0, 1.5 and 2.0 carat gemstones.

 

Five-carat diamond prices were slightly below the level in March 2011; this is not a positive trend, but trading has been light among this size of stone. This pricing disparity is more or less similar to price trends over the past few months.

 


Source: IDEX Online Research

Year-over-year, 0.5-carat rounds increased by 16 percent, outperforming the larger key-size goods.

 

The Hong Kong Factor

A relatively quiet U.S. market entering a presidential election year that focuses on the economy is an important influence on current demand. In addition, a lack of consumer events such as a major holiday as a boost to inspire diamond jewelry purchases led to subdued demand in March.

 

However, the largest change in the diamond calendar was the rescheduling of the important Hong Kong jewelry show from March to February.

 

The excitement, increase in demand and realigning of prices that typically precedes an important trade fair shifted from March to February. As a result, year-over-year comparisons in March are not like-to-like.

 

Outlook Positive

The U.S., Chinese, Japanese and Indian economies are growing, and are expected to continue and grow in the long run. On the downside, growth in China and India is expected to continue at a slower pace; in Japan, diamond demand might slow after a short-lived burst in demand in 2011.

 

We expect continued steady demand in 2012, with price overall annual appreciation of 2-4 percent compared to 2011.

 

The full analysis of the polished diamond prices is available to IDEX Online Research subscribers and IDEX Online members here. Click here for more information on how to subscribe or become a member.

Diamond Index
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